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How many copies did Espire 1: VR Operative sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–27k
$92k–$248k after Steam's cut $168k–$381k before Steam's cut
from 582 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Espire 1: VR Operative and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Espire 1: VR Operative's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 755k–2.3M
best case 2.8M (Gorilla Tag)
Games like Espire 1: VR Operative

A typical game among these

≈ 755k–2.3M copies

≈ $15.6M–$24.9M after Steam's cut

from ~46k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is VR (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Gorilla Tag at ≈ 2.1M–3.5M copies, ≈ $11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 25k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (4 of 8) and Horror (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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ActionStrategy

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