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How many copies did Frontier Pilot Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–39k
$163k–$438k after Steam's cut $296k–$674k before Steam's cut
from 956 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Frontier Pilot Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frontier Pilot Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 420k–757k
best case 3.3M (EVE Online)
Games like Frontier Pilot Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 420k–757k copies

≈ $3.9M–$7.6M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: EVE Online at ≈ 2.5M–4.1M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Space (7 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Space + Open World.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

X4: Foundations
2018
Est. copies
≈ 920k–1.5M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.0M after Steam's cut $23.0M–$52.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
30k reviews
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Space SimSimulation
Avorion
2020
Est. copies
≈ 362k–588k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationSandbox
X Rebirth
2013
Est. copies
≈ 462k–751k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Mixed
SimulationSpace
X3: Terran Conflict
2008
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$799k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSimulation
EVE Online
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceFree to Play
Endless Sky
2015
Est. copies
≈ 347k–564k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceFree to Play
Offworld Trading Company
2016
Est. copies
≈ 238k–387k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
Replay ValueAtmospheric
IXION
2022
Est. copies
≈ 443k–719k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceCity Builder

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