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How big is Bang! Howdy?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 4k–7k
from 123 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bang! Howdy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bang! Howdy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 391–2k
best case 25k (John Wick Hex)
Games like Bang! Howdy

A typical game among these

≈ 391–2k copies

≈ $502–$822 after Steam's cut

from ~33 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: John Wick Hex at ≈ 19k–31k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 75.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Time Management (6 of 8) and Real Time Tactics (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Real Time Tactics + Time Management. The breakout hits carry Action + Tactical + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Billion Clicker
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$446–$1k after Steam's cut $810–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
66 reviews
Mostly Positive
ClickerIdler
Middle Age Conquest
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$6.99
49 reviews
Positive
StrategyMedieval
Phantom Racing
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92 reviews
Mixed
Massively MultiplayerRacing
John Wick Hex
2020
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
776 reviews
Mixed
StrategyAction
Ministry of Pandemic
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$170–$459 after Steam's cut $309–$706 before Steam's cut
$4.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
IndieStrategy
Restaurant Manager
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$273–$735 after Steam's cut $496–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
33 reviews
Mostly Negative
IndieEarly Access
White Girl
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16 reviews
Positive
Card GameReal Time Tactics
The Line TD
2023
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
Tower DefenseTime Management

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