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How many copies did Ministry of Pandemic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$170–$459 after Steam's cut $309–$706 before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ministry of Pandemic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ministry of Pandemic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.8M
best case 6.1M (Crusader Kings II)
Games like Ministry of Pandemic

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.8M copies

≈ $12.7M–$16.7M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Crusader Kings II at ≈ 4.7M–7.6M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 10.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Political Sim (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Grand Strategy + Medieval.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crusader Kings II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
74k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Beholder
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$13.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Dystopian Choices Matter
Two Point Hospital
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.6M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
Pandemic Crisis
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$183–$494 after Steam's cut $333–$760 before Steam's cut
$2.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
SimulationStrategy
3D PUZZLE - Castle
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$56k–$150k after Steam's cut $102k–$231k before Steam's cut
$199.99
41 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Tropico 6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 851k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
City BuilderStrategy
Hidden Farm 2 Top-Down 3D
2022
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$48k–$128k after Steam's cut $87k–$198k before Steam's cut
$199.99
35 reviews
Mixed
ActionCasual
Gold Challenge
2021
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$46k–$125k after Steam's cut $84k–$192k before Steam's cut
$199.99
34 reviews
Mostly Negative
ActionAdventure

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