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How many copies did Pantropy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–14k
from 293 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pantropy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pantropy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 165k–31.1M
best case 56.0M (Rust)
Games like Pantropy

A typical game among these

≈ 165k–31.1M copies

≈ $5.5M–$207.1M after Steam's cut

from ~284k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Crafting (7 of 8) and Survival (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
544k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
The Riftbreaker
2021
Est. copies
≈ 619k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingTower Defense
CryoFall
2021
Est. copies
≈ 161k–261k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$882k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
Colony SimCrafting
Sky Break
2016
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
543 reviews
Mixed
RPGOpen World Survival Craft
Craftica
2020
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$450–$1k after Steam's cut $818–$2k before Steam's cut
$5.99
11 reviews
Mostly Positive
BuildingSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.