How much revenue did The Iron Oath make?

$158k–$424k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Iron Oath sell?

Q: How many copies did The Iron Oath sell?

23k to 37k copies, based on its 925 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 23k–37k; $158k–$424k after Steam's cut $287k–$652k before Steam's cut; from 925 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Iron Oath and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Iron Oath's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 382k–748k

best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)

Games like The Iron Oath

A typical game among these

≈ 382k–748k copies

≈ $4.1M–$8.6M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 16k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8) and Fantasy (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Character Customization + CRPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children 2020	Est. copies ≈ 246k–399k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	10k reviews Very Positive	CRPGTactical RPG
Wildermyth 2021	Est. copies ≈ 454k–737k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Party-Based RPGChoices Matter
Wasteland 3 2020	Est. copies ≈ 557k–904k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	22k reviews Very Positive	CRPGCharacter Customization
Wartales 2023	Est. copies ≈ 899k–1.5M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.8M before Steam's cut	$34.99	36k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Fell Seal: Arbiter's Mark 2019	Est. copies ≈ 183k–298k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	6k reviews Very Positive	RPGStrategy
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 15x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky 2014	Est. copies ≈ 583k–947k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	10k reviews Very Positive	JRPG Story Rich
Songs of Conquest 2024	Est. copies ≈ 337k–547k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Local MultiplayerTurn-Based Tactics