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How many copies did FROG X BIRD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 241–391
$530–$1k after Steam's cut $963–$2k before Steam's cut
from 7 reviews (7 user reviews)
Only 7 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FROG X BIRD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FROG X BIRD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–3.0M
best case 2.6M (Party Animals)
Games like FROG X BIRD

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–3.0M copies

≈ $16.1M–$20.9M after Steam's cut

from ~63k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Party Animals at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Party Game (8 of 8) and Party (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Co-op, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Pummel Party
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Rubber Bandits
2021
Est. copies
≈ 179k–291k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $893k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Family FriendlyParty Game
Party Animals
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
79k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerFunny
The Jackbox Party Pack 3
2016
Est. copies
≈ 278k–451k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Local MultiplayerTrivia
Gang Beasts
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyPhysics
The Jackbox Party Pack 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 117k–191k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$807k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TriviaCasual
Tricky Towers
2016
Est. copies
≈ 687k–1.1M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Very Positive

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