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How many copies did El Tango de la Muerte sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$14k–$36k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before Steam's cut
from 324 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid El Tango de la Muerte and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including El Tango de la Muerte's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 934k–2.4M
best case 4.6M (Muse Dash)
Games like El Tango de la Muerte

A typical game among these

≈ 934k–2.4M copies

≈ $6.3M–$10.8M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Muse Dash at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 138 to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+
2022
Est. copies
≈ 590k–959k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut
$39.39
24k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAnime
A Dance of Fire and Ice
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut
$5.99
84k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Starstruck: Hands of Time
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$40k–$106k after Steam's cut $72k–$164k before Steam's cut
$19.99
290 reviews
Very Positive
RhythmTime Travel
Just Shapes & Beats
2018
Est. copies
≈ 795k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmGreat Soundtrack
Crypt of the NecroDancer
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmFemale Protagonist
DJMAX RESPECT V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 867k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Rocksmith® 2014 Edition REMASTERED LEARN & PLAY
2024
Est. copies
≈ 629k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
MusicEducation

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