How much revenue did The Islander make?

$11k–$29k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Islander sell?

Q: How many copies did The Islander sell?

13k to 21k copies, based on its 428 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 13k–21k; $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut; from 428 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Islander and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Islander's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20k–46k

best case 281k (Tiny Pasture)

Games like The Islander

A typical game among these

≈ 20k–46k copies

≈ $21k–$85k after Steam's cut

from ~851 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tiny Pasture at ≈ 214k–348k copies, ≈ $353k–$949k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 344 reviews in their first month; the range was 27 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Farming Sim (8 of 8) and Clicker (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Idler + Farming Sim, priced around $4. The breakout hits carry Idler + Collectathon + Agriculture; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Poop Clicker 2022	Est. copies ≈ 21k–34k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$24k before Steam's cut	$0.99	842 reviews Mostly Positive	CasualSimulation
Tiny Pasture 2025	Est. copies ≈ 214k–348k 10x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $353k–$949k after Steam's cut $641k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	9k reviews Very Positive	IdlerFarming Sim
Plantera 2: Golden Acorn 2023	Est. copies ≈ 34k–56k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $47k–$126k after Steam's cut $86k–$195k before Steam's cut	$4.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Farming SimIdler
Voodoo Garden 2016	Est. copies ≈ 36k–58k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $29k–$79k after Steam's cut $53k–$122k before Steam's cut	$2.99	859 reviews Mostly Positive	CasualFarming Sim
Behind Glass: Aquarium Simulator 2025	Est. copies ≈ 10k–17k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $43k–$115k after Steam's cut $78k–$177k before Steam's cut	$14.99	419 reviews Very Positive	UnderwaterRealistic
古代风流传 2023	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$22k before Steam's cut	$1.45	527 reviews Mostly Positive	RPGMature
Capybara Spa 2022	Est. copies ≈ 42k–69k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $93k–$249k after Steam's cut $169k–$384k before Steam's cut	$7.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationCasual
Plantera 2016	Est. copies ≈ 247k–401k 7.0x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $203k–$545k after Steam's cut $369k–$839k before Steam's cut	$2.99	6k reviews Very Positive	ClickerIdler