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How many copies did Dark Devotion sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 72k–117k
$397k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $722k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Devotion and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Devotion's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 109k–318k
best case 2.4M (UNO)
Games like Dark Devotion

A typical game among these

≈ 109k–318k copies

≈ $722k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Female Protagonist (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 711 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (4 of 8) and Metroidvania (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Card Game + Multiplayer + Tabletop; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Winter Memories
2024
Est. copies
≈ 265k–430k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentMature
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Hunt Down The Freeman
2018
Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$379k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $689k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Mixed
Momodora: Moonlit Farewell
2024
Est. copies
≈ 82k–133k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$382k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $695k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$16.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaAnime
9 Years of Shadows
2023
Est. copies
≈ 84k–136k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$460k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $836k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
SteamVR Performance Test
2016
Est. copies
≈ 220k–358k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRBenchmark
Minoria
2019
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$420k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $764k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionMetroidvania
Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 498k–809k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Metroidvania2D Platformer

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