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How many copies did Rigid Force Alpha sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut
from 136 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rigid Force Alpha and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rigid Force Alpha's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 98k–243k
best case 279k (Guns, Gore & Cannoli)
Games like Rigid Force Alpha

A typical game among these

≈ 98k–243k copies

≈ $379k–$638k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Guns, Gore & Cannoli at ≈ 212k–345k copies, ≈ $584k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shoot 'Em Up (8 of 8) and Side Scroller (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Side Scroller + Co-op, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Soda Crisis
2022
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$242k–$650k after Steam's cut $440k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$10.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerRunner
Cyber Hunter: Awakening
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
16 reviews
Mixed
Spectacle fighterSide Scroller
Gunner Deadly Expedition
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Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
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Precision PlatformerSpectacle fighter
BLACK BIRD
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
$18.99
108 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpDark Fantasy
Guns, Gore & Cannoli
2015
Est. copies
≈ 212k–345k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$584k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSide Scroller
Astro Attack
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$143–$384 after Steam's cut $260–$590 before Steam's cut
$2.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Shoot 'Em UpScore Attack
Savant - Ascent
2013
Est. copies
≈ 176k–286k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$96k–$259k after Steam's cut $175k–$398k before Steam's cut
$1.99
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Very Positive
ActionIndie
Blazing Chrome
2019
Est. copies
≈ 57k–93k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$267k–$718k after Steam's cut $485k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$16.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRetro

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