How much revenue did BLACK BIRD make?

$17k–$46k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did BLACK BIRD sell?

Q: How many copies did BLACK BIRD sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 108 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut; from 108 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BLACK BIRD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BLACK BIRD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–35k

best case 46k (Corpse Keeper)

Games like BLACK BIRD

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–35k copies

≈ $9k–$277k after Steam's cut

from ~252 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Corpse Keeper at ≈ 35k–57k copies, ≈ $194k–$521k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 123 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Replay Value (8 of 8) and Hack and Slash (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action RPG + Dark, priced around $20.
When they shipped: Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Spellz: Mastery or Death 2023	Est. copies ≈ 248–403 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $886–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$12.99	10 reviews Positive	Early AccessSouls-like
Corpse Keeper 2024	Est. copies ≈ 35k–57k 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $194k–$521k after Steam's cut $352k–$802k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RPGDark
Heretical 2024	Est. copies ≈ 26k–42k 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$439k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAction Roguelike
Searching For Rest 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut	$5.99	75 reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based Tactics Rogue-lite
Summum Aeterna 2023	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $54k–$146k after Steam's cut $99k–$225k before Steam's cut	$19.99	399 reviews Very Positive	AdventureRogue-lite
Dark ill 暗黑蛊国 2022	Est. copies ≈ 496–806 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	20 reviews Mixed	Roguelike DeckbuilderStrategy
GetsuFumaDen: Undying Moon 2022	Est. copies ≈ 28k–46k 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $195k–$524k after Steam's cut $354k–$806k before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Rogue-likeHack and Slash
Burned Land 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut	$9.99	105 reviews Mixed	4XTurn-Based Strategy