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How many copies did Burned Land sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
from 105 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Burned Land and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Burned Land's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 64k–159k
best case 939k (HUMANKIND™)
Games like Burned Land

A typical game among these

≈ 64k–159k copies

≈ $177k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HUMANKIND™ at ≈ 715k–1.2M copies, ≈ $9.8M–$26.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 63 to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + 4X, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

As Far As The Eye
2020
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$363k–$975k after Steam's cut $659k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyBuilding
Rebuild 3: Gangs of Deadsville
2015
Est. copies
≈ 100k–163k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$412k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $750k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Thea 2: The Shattering
2019
Est. copies
≈ 62k–101k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $780k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyRPG
Thea: The Awakening
2015
Est. copies
≈ 184k–300k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
HUMANKIND™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 715k–1.2M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.8M–$26.4M after Steam's cut $17.9M–$40.7M before Steam's cut
$49.99
29k reviews
Mixed
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Marble Age
2015
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$60k–$161k after Steam's cut $109k–$248k before Steam's cut
$5.99
745 reviews
Very Positive
IndieStrategy
Three Kingdoms The Last Warlord
2021
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$108k–$290k after Steam's cut $196k–$446k before Steam's cut
$3.99
4k reviews
Mixed
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Marble Age: Remastered
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $50k–$113k before Steam's cut
$9.99
401 reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerStrategy

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