How much revenue did Groove Coaster make?

$268k–$722k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Groove Coaster sell?

Q: How many copies did Groove Coaster sell?

49k to 79k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 49k–79k; $268k–$722k after Steam's cut $488k–$1.1M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Groove Coaster and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Groove Coaster's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 288k–678k

best case 4.6M (Muse Dash)

Games like Groove Coaster

A typical game among these

≈ 288k–678k copies

≈ $738k–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Muse Dash at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Music (8 of 8) and Rhythm (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $4. The breakout hits carry Sexual Content + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
MUSYNX 2018	Est. copies ≈ 207k–336k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $227k–$610k after Steam's cut $413k–$939k before Steam's cut	$3.99	7k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Audiosurf 2 2015	Est. copies ≈ 295k–480k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 16x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Sayonara Wild Hearts 2019	Est. copies ≈ 257k–418k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $920k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$12.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackRhythm
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+ 2022	Est. copies ≈ 590k–959k 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut	$39.39	24k reviews Very Positive	RhythmAnime
Intralism 2016	Est. copies ≈ 201k–326k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $165k–$444k after Steam's cut $300k–$682k before Steam's cut	$2.99	5k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
AudioSurf 2008	Est. copies ≈ 702k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MusicRhythm
A Dance of Fire and Ice 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	84k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic