How much revenue did Keplerth make?

$426k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Keplerth sell?

Q: How many copies did Keplerth sell?

103k to 168k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 103k–168k; $426k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $774k–$1.8M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Keplerth and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Keplerth's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33k–252k

best case 421k (ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game)

Games like Keplerth

A typical game among these

≈ 33k–252k copies

≈ $59k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game at ≈ 321k–522k copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 760 reviews in their first month; the range was 166 to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Sandbox (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with CRPG + Exploration, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Drake Hollow 2020	Est. copies ≈ 45k–73k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $369k–$993k after Steam's cut $672k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldSurvival
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game 2018	Est. copies ≈ 321k–522k 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	11k reviews Very Positive	CRPGExploration
Settlement Survival 2022	Est. copies ≈ 201k–327k 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	City BuilderBuilding
Worlds Adrift 2017	Est. copies ≈ 189k–307k 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Mixed	Open WorldMassively Multiplayer
Camping Simulator: The Squad 2025	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $37k–$100k after Steam's cut $68k–$154k before Steam's cut	$4.99	1k reviews Mixed	Simulation Survival
Dread Dawn 2024	Est. copies ≈ 56k–92k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $310k–$834k after Steam's cut $564k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	ZombiesSurvival
Metro Sim Hustle 2021	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before Steam's cut	$9.99	399 reviews Mostly Positive	Life SimExploration
大衍江湖 - Evolution Of JiangHu 2023	Est. copies ≈ 18k–30k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before Steam's cut	$4.99	738 reviews Mixed	SimulationRPG