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How many copies did After the Fall® sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 78k–126k
$428k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $777k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid After the Fall® and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including After the Fall®'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 261k–418k
best case 5.0M (Resident Evil Village)
Games like After the Fall®

A typical game among these

≈ 261k–418k copies

≈ $2.6M–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Resident Evil Village at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the range was 619 to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Zombies (8 of 8) and Horror (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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≈ 1.0M–1.6M
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Resident Evil Village
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≈ 3.8M–6.2M
17x vs typical
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VRAction

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