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How many copies did Broken Reality sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 70k–114k
$290k–$781k after Steam's cut $528k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Broken Reality and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Broken Reality's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 40k–151k
best case 611k (Jazzpunk: Director's Cut)
Games like Broken Reality

A typical game among these

≈ 40k–151k copies

≈ $45k–$91k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Surreal (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Jazzpunk: Director's Cut at ≈ 465k–756k copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 33 reviews in their first month; the range was 31 to 629.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Surreal (4 of 8) and Walking Simulator (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Comedy + Surreal, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Jazzpunk: Director's Cut
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4.0x vs typical
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.