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How many copies did 前程似锦 Excellent Expectations sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–55k
$28k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$114k before Steam's cut
from 977 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 前程似锦 Excellent Expectations and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 前程似锦 Excellent Expectations's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.1M
best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)
Games like 前程似锦 Excellent Expectations

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–2.1M copies

≈ $10.9M–$19.8M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Detective (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Visual Novel, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Methods: The Canada Files
2026
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$56k–$150k after Steam's cut $101k–$230k before Steam's cut
$19.99
408 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessSingleplayer
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
Brain Freeze
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$111 after Steam's cut $75–$170 before Steam's cut
$2.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
PuzzleDark Comedy
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
The Castle
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$5.99
42 reviews
Positive
Point & ClickIndie

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