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How many copies did Brain Freeze sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$41–$111 after Steam's cut $75–$170 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Brain Freeze and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Brain Freeze's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 47k–80k
best case 2.1M (Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc)
Games like Brain Freeze

A typical game among these

≈ 47k–80k copies

≈ $156k–$359k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 189 reviews in their first month; the range was 144 to 731.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (4 of 8) and Comedy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + Visual Novel, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Anime + Visual Novel; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Darkside Detective: A Fumble in the Dark
2021
Est. copies
≈ 50k–82k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$207k–$558k after Steam's cut $377k–$858k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsDetective
Christmas Massacre
2021
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$61k–$163k after Steam's cut $110k–$251k before Steam's cut
$7.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ViolentAction
Lakeview Cabin Collection
2015
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$260k–$699k after Steam's cut $473k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Survival Horror2D Platformer
Take me, Vitaly
2024
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
$5.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorDark Humor
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
The Baby In Yellow
2023
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$155k–$417k after Steam's cut $282k–$641k before Steam's cut
$8.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessStory Rich
Kindergarten
2017
Est. copies
≈ 367k–596k
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$503k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $915k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FunnyGore
Four Last Things
2017
Est. copies
≈ 57k–92k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$156k–$420k after Steam's cut $284k–$645k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureIndie

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.