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How many copies did S.U.B. sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 122–198
$67–$179 after Steam's cut $121–$276 before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid S.U.B. and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including S.U.B.'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 375–627
best case 6k (Fishlike)
Games like S.U.B.

A typical game among these

≈ 375–627 copies

≈ $778–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~14 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fishlike at ≈ 5k–7k copies, ≈ $6k–$17k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 81.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Score Attack (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Arcade, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Shoot 'Em Up + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Otteretto
2022
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$653–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$2.99
32 reviews
Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Crazy shark
2022
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
12 reviews
Mixed
ActionArcade
Darius Cozmic Collection Arcade
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$199k before Steam's cut
$44.99
157 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpMultiple Endings
G-Darius HD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut
$29.99
168 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerShoot 'Em Up
Harmonic Depths
2023
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Positive
ExplorationImmersive Sim
Slime Scramble
2024
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$190–$512 after Steam's cut $346–$787 before Steam's cut
$2.79
10 reviews
Positive
ActionArcade
Scoop it! Goldfish
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34–$91 after Steam's cut $62–$140 before Steam's cut
$4.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
IndieAction
Fishlike
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$4.99
183 reviews
Very Positive
MinigamesArcade

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.