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How many copies did Darius Cozmic Collection Arcade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$199k before Steam's cut
from 157 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Darius Cozmic Collection Arcade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Darius Cozmic Collection Arcade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–5k
best case 9k (Double Kick Heroes)
Games like Darius Cozmic Collection Arcade

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–5k copies

≈ $18k–$44k after Steam's cut

from ~142 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Double Kick Heroes at ≈ 7k–11k copies, ≈ $37k–$101k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 45 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 165.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shoot 'Em Up (6 of 8) and Arcade (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Zombies, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Rhythm + Zombies + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

G-Darius HD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut
$29.99
168 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerShoot 'Em Up
Double Kick Heroes
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$37k–$101k after Steam's cut $68k–$155k before Steam's cut
$19.99
275 reviews
Very Positive
RhythmZombies
Blood of Titans
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Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
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148 reviews
Mixed
Trading Card GameBase-Building
BLACK BIRD
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
$18.99
108 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpDark Fantasy
Rigid Force Alpha
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut
$19.99
136 reviews
Mostly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpSide Scroller
Sophstar
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
$9.99
107 reviews
Very Positive
ActionBullet Hell
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Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
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142 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDifficult
NeverAwake
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$19.99
176 reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade

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