How much revenue did NUTS make?

$186k–$500k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did NUTS sell?

Q: How many copies did NUTS sell?

27k to 44k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 27k–44k; $186k–$500k after Steam's cut $338k–$769k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NUTS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NUTS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 489–33k

best case 526k (Strange Horticulture)

Games like NUTS

A typical game among these

≈ 489–33k copies

≈ $3k–$252k after Steam's cut

from ~210 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Strange Horticulture at ≈ 401k–652k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 1k reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Detective (7 of 8) and Nature (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mystery + Puzzle, priced around $16.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Chicken Police - Paint it RED! 2020	Est. copies ≈ 63k–103k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $348k–$935k after Steam's cut $632k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDetective
Strange Horticulture 2022	Est. copies ≈ 401k–652k 77x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut	$15.99	16k reviews Very Positive	MysteryPuzzle
The Good Life 2021	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $66k–$178k after Steam's cut $120k–$273k before Steam's cut	$29.99	323 reviews Mostly Positive	InvestigationLife Sim
Letter Vetter 2020	Est. copies ≈ 397–645 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $982–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$8.99	16 reviews Mixed	IndieHand-drawn
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Immortal Love: True Treasure Collector's Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 198–322 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$19.99	8 reviews 8 user reviews	Hidden ObjectPuzzle
Antivine 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut	$8.99	96 reviews Very Positive	CasualEmotional
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