How much revenue did Island of Deception make?

Island of Deception is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Island of Deception sell?

Q: How many copies did Island of Deception sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 155 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; from 155 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Island of Deception and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Island of Deception's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.9M–10.7M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Island of Deception

A typical game among these

≈ 4.9M–10.7M copies

≈ $54.7M–$88.6M after Steam's cut

from ~157k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (3 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 76.0M–123.4M 9.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.6M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M 8.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
American Truck Simulator 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8.2M–13.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $45.0M–$120.9M after Steam's cut $81.7M–$186.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	197k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Automobile SimDriving
World of Warships 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	157k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayNaval Combat
Hell Let Loose 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	150k reviews Very Positive	ShooterRealistic
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 18x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
CarX Drift Racing Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut	$16.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingPhysics