How much revenue did Squirrel Sphere make?

$2k–$6k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Squirrel Sphere sell?

Q: How many copies did Squirrel Sphere sell?

821 to 1k copies, based on its 27 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 821–1k; $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut; from 27 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Squirrel Sphere and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Squirrel Sphere's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–3.3M

best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)

Games like Squirrel Sphere

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–3.3M copies

≈ $23.6M–$55.2M after Steam's cut

from ~74k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 60k reviews in their first month; the range was 32k to 144k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (2 of 8) and FPS (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + Family Friendly + Massively Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M 6.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition 2026	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.9M–$80.5M after Steam's cut $54.4M–$123.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	73k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationFlight
Hell Let Loose 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	150k reviews Very Positive	ShooterRealistic
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
The Planet Crafter 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$23.99	75k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
Gang Beasts 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	68k reviews Very Positive	FunnyPhysics
Overcooked! 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $17.7M–$47.5M after Steam's cut $32.1M–$73.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	85k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
Paladins® 2018	Est. copies ≈ 10.5M–17.1M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	345k reviews Very Positive	Hero ShooterFree to Play