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How many copies did Lakeview Valley sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$90k–$243k after Steam's cut $164k–$374k before Steam's cut
from 762 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lakeview Valley and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lakeview Valley's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 265k–663k
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like Lakeview Valley

A typical game among these

≈ 265k–663k copies

≈ $4.0M–$10.0M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share CRPG (5 of 8) and Tactical RPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children
2020
Est. copies
≈ 246k–399k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGTactical RPG
Pathologic 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 352k–572k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Expeditions: Rome
2022
Est. copies
≈ 169k–274k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy
Waste Walkers
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$26k–$70k after Steam's cut $48k–$108k before Steam's cut
$8.99
217 reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureCharacter Customization
Wasteland 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 557k–904k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGCharacter Customization
King Arthur: Knight's Tale
2022
Est. copies
≈ 188k–305k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
Castle of Mist
2025
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$442–$1k after Steam's cut $803–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
13 reviews
Positive
Social DeductionStrategy RPG

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