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How many copies did Waste Walkers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–17k
$26k–$70k after Steam's cut $48k–$108k before Steam's cut
from 217 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Waste Walkers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Waste Walkers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 106k–229k
best case 7.3M (The Elder Scrolls® Online)
Games like Waste Walkers

A typical game among these

≈ 106k–229k copies

≈ $728k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls® Online at ≈ 5.6M–9.0M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 714 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (5 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with MMORPG + Open World, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry MMORPG + Singleplayer + Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
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Open WorldRPG
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience
2020
Est. copies
≈ 71k–116k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$391k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $711k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
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Choose Your Own AdventureTime Management
Game of Thrones: Kingsroad
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2.0x vs typical
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Free
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《蜀山:初章》买断版
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Est. copies
≈ 148k–241k
1.5x vs typical
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$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
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轮回修仙路
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≈ 79k–129k
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RPGOpen World
Amazing Frog?
2014
Est. copies
≈ 656k–1.1M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut
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12k reviews
Very Positive
Early Access4 Player Local
The Elder Scrolls® Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
41x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut $55.6M–$126.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
162k reviews
Very Positive
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Shadows Over Loathing
2022
Est. copies
≈ 83k–134k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$523k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $951k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$22.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureRPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.