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How many copies did Game of Thrones: Kingsroad sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 200k–326k
from 8k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Game of Thrones: Kingsroad and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Game of Thrones: Kingsroad's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 103k–459k
best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)
Games like Game of Thrones: Kingsroad

A typical game among these

≈ 103k–459k copies

≈ $863k–$4.2M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with MMORPG + Open World, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + RPG + MMORPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Avorion
2020
Est. copies
≈ 362k–588k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationSandbox
Pixel Piracy
2014
Est. copies
≈ 412k–669k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeSandbox
Niffelheim
2018
Est. copies
≈ 71k–115k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$390k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $710k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
MythologyCo-op
The Elder Scrolls® Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
33x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut $55.6M–$126.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
162k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMMORPG
Way of the Samurai 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$702k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionJRPG
Pine
2019
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$365k–$981k after Steam's cut $664k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SingleplayerOpen World
Watch Dogs®: Legion
2023
Est. copies
≈ 314k–510k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
13k reviews
Mixed
ActionOpen World
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
46x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer

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