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How many copies did Oracle of Forgotten Testament sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 34 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oracle of Forgotten Testament and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Oracle of Forgotten Testament's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 68k–164k
best case 281k (Buy a Croquette!)
Games like Oracle of Forgotten Testament

A typical game among these

≈ 68k–164k copies

≈ $285k–$809k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Buy a Croquette! at ≈ 214k–348k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 591 reviews in their first month; the range was 170 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RPGMaker + Mystery.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ocean's Heart
2021
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$155k–$416k after Steam's cut $281k–$640k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction RPG
CHRONO CROSS: THE RADICAL DREAMERS EDITION
2022
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$344k–$926k after Steam's cut $626k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
JRPGRPG
Oceanhorn: Monster of Uncharted Seas
2015
Est. copies
≈ 106k–173k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $797k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureRPG
Buy a Croquette!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 214k–348k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGMakerMystery
Word Game
2022
Est. copies
≈ 160k–260k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$34.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Word Game: Episode 0
2021
Est. copies
≈ 113k–183k
1.9x vs typical
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Free
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Overwhelmingly Positive
MinimalistIndie
Atelier Ryza 3: Alchemist of the End & the Secret Key
2023
Est. copies
≈ 56k–92k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Very Positive
ExplorationJRPG
Lunar Mirror:The Pavilion of Desire
2023
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$93k–$251k after Steam's cut $169k–$386k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentMature

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.