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How many copies did Oceanhorn: Monster of Uncharted Seas sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 106k–173k
$439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $797k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oceanhorn: Monster of Uncharted Seas and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Oceanhorn: Monster of Uncharted Seas's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 503k–596k
best case 12.2M (Hogwarts Legacy)
Games like Oceanhorn: Monster of Uncharted Seas

A typical game among these

≈ 503k–596k copies

≈ $2.2M–$6.3M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies, ≈ $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 737 to 171k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Exploration, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Open World + Exploration + Third Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms
2020
Est. copies
≈ 374k–607k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Dungeons & DragonsFree to Play
We Were Here Forever
2022
Est. copies
≈ 471k–765k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$17.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Escape RoomOnline Co-Op
Jusant
2023
Est. copies
≈ 172k–280k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericParkour
Trine 4: The Nightmare Prince
2019
Est. copies
≈ 413k–671k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerLocal Co-Op
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
Overlord™
2007
Est. copies
≈ 427k–693k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$585k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistHack and Slash
TUNIC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 464k–753k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle

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