How much revenue did Molecule - a chemical challenge make?

$466–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Molecule - a chemical challenge sell?

Q: How many copies did Molecule - a chemical challenge sell?

851 to 1k copies, based on its 28 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 851–1k; $466–$1k after Steam's cut $847–$2k before Steam's cut; from 28 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Molecule - a chemical challenge and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Molecule - a chemical challenge's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–28k

best case 311k (while True: learn())

Games like Molecule - a chemical challenge

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–28k copies

≈ $62k–$115k after Steam's cut

from ~447 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: while True: learn() at ≈ 237k–386k copies, ≈ $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 133 reviews in their first month; the range was 68 to 262.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Education (6 of 8) and Science (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Programming + Puzzle, priced around $11. The breakout hits carry Indie + Programming + Puzzle; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
while True: learn() 2019	Est. copies ≈ 237k–386k 18x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$12.99	8k reviews Very Positive	ProgrammingSimulation
Virtual Circuit Board 2023	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut	$14.99	323 reviews Very Positive	SimulationProgramming
Sokobond 2014	Est. copies ≈ 40k–65k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $165k–$444k after Steam's cut $300k–$683k before Steam's cut	$14.99	715 reviews Very Positive	SokobanScience
SpaceChem 2011	Est. copies ≈ 322k–523k 11x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $884k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleDifficult
JOY OF PROGRAMMING - Software Engineering Simulator 2025	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $49k–$131k after Steam's cut $88k–$201k before Steam's cut	$17.99	396 reviews Mostly Positive	ProgrammingAutomation
HyperRogue 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24k–39k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $67k–$179k after Steam's cut $121k–$276k before Steam's cut	$9.99	497 reviews Very Positive	Traditional RoguelikePsychedelic
Size Matters 2021	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $35k–$94k after Steam's cut $63k–$144k before Steam's cut	$9.99	511 reviews Very Positive	SimulationCasual
Bombe 2023	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $26k–$71k after Steam's cut $48k–$109k before Steam's cut	$9.99	385 reviews Very Positive	PuzzleCasual