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How many copies did DEAD OR ALIVE 6 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 286k–465k
from 10k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DEAD OR ALIVE 6 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DEAD OR ALIVE 6's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 302k–710k
best case 2.6M (Street Fighter™ 6)
Games like DEAD OR ALIVE 6

A typical game among these

≈ 302k–710k copies

≈ $2.0M–$3.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Street Fighter™ 6 at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 48k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Fighter (5 of 8) and Fighting (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Local Multiplayer + Fighting + Action; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Freestyle 2: Street Basketball
2015
Est. copies
≈ 621k–1.0M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Mostly Positive
BasketballSports
Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$66.8M after Steam's cut $45.2M–$102.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction
THE KING OF FIGHTERS XV
2024
Est. copies
≈ 230k–374k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
TEKKEN 8
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$19.8M–$53.4M after Steam's cut $36.1M–$82.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
73k reviews
Mixed
Fighting3D Fighter
DEAD OR ALIVE 5 Last Round: Core Fighters
2015
Est. copies
≈ 514k–836k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Mixed
PvPSexual Content
Drunken Wrestlers 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 541k–879k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$3.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessMultiplayer
Divine Knockout (DKO)
2022
Est. copies
≈ 163k–265k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mixed
Action3D Fighter

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