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How big is Catch Me If You Can?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 4k–7k
from 181 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Catch Me If You Can and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Catch Me If You Can's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 592–6k
best case 11k (Warstride Challenges)
Games like Catch Me If You Can

A typical game among these

≈ 592–6k copies

≈ $2k–$15k after Steam's cut

from ~41 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Warstride Challenges at ≈ 8k–13k copies, ≈ $45k–$120k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 225.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Parkour (6 of 8) and 3D Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Gore + FPS, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warstride Challenges
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$45k–$120k after Steam's cut $81k–$185k before Steam's cut
$19.99
328 reviews
Very Positive
3DGore
Parkour Tag
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
$7.99
214 reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParkour
RANK RUNNER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 461–749
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$125–$337 after Steam's cut $228–$519 before Steam's cut
$0.99
16 reviews
Mostly Positive
Bullet HellRunner
Celaria
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
$5.99
143 reviews
Very Positive
Spectrolite
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$16.99
53 reviews
Very Positive
First-PersonParkour
Hirilun
2022
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
17 reviews
Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Bulletkour
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$614–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$14.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Early AccessParkour
Speedonauts
2023
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$7.99
29 reviews
Positive
RacingDifficult

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