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How many copies did Gem Rush sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 669–1k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 22 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gem Rush and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gem Rush's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 114–684
best case 3.4M (Dota Underlords)
Games like Gem Rush

A typical game among these

≈ 114–684 copies

≈ $163–$777 after Steam's cut

from ~7 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Board Game (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Dota Underlords at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 23 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (4 of 8) and Mining (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Auto Battler + Tactical. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Auto Battler + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dota Underlords
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
12992x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
91k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Battle Mine Sweeper
2021
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7 reviews
7 user reviews
CasualPuzzle
Imperial Settlers: Imperial Miners
2024
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$443–$1k after Steam's cut $805–$2k before Steam's cut
$12.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
CasualCard Game
Gold Mine Dash
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut
$1.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
AdventureStrategy
Gold Rush Clicker
2023
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$353–$949 after Steam's cut $642–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
26 reviews
Mixed
ClickerIdler
Factory Islands
2024
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.49
16 reviews
Positive
CasualPuzzle
SudoKube
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$719–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$1.99
53 reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleSolitaire
高温计划 Heat Plan
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7–$18 after Steam's cut $12–$28 before Steam's cut
$0.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualStrategy

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