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How many copies did SuperMash sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
from 45 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SuperMash and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SuperMash's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 84k–466k
best case 1.1M (Gunpoint)
Games like SuperMash

A typical game among these

≈ 84k–466k copies

≈ $507k–$6.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Gunpoint at ≈ 843k–1.4M copies, ≈ $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (4 of 8) and Game Development (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Stealth + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Shadow Corridor 2 雨ノ四葩
2024
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$122k–$328k after Steam's cut $222k–$505k before Steam's cut
$18.99
942 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorProcedural Generation
Gunpoint
2013
Est. copies
≈ 843k–1.4M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthIndie
RPG Maker XP
2013
Est. copies
≈ 125k–203k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$860k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentRPG
Stealth Bastard Deluxe
2012
Est. copies
≈ 78k–126k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$278k–$747k after Steam's cut $505k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$12.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Heat Signature
2017
Est. copies
≈ 255k–415k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceStealth
RPG Maker VX Ace
2012
Est. copies
≈ 328k–533k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.1M before Steam's cut
$69.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentRPG
Visual Novel Maker
2017
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$266k–$716k after Steam's cut $484k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
469 reviews
Mixed
Visual NovelAnime
RPG Maker MV
2015
Est. copies
≈ 437k–711k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut
$79.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
RPGRPGMaker

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.