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How many copies did Stealth Bastard Deluxe sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 78k–126k
$278k–$747k after Steam's cut $505k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Stealth Bastard Deluxe and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stealth Bastard Deluxe's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 218k–596k
best case 5.3M (Little Nightmares)
Games like Stealth Bastard Deluxe

A typical game among these

≈ 218k–596k copies

≈ $1.6M–$3.7M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Little Nightmares at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Stealth (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Horror + Atmospheric + Dark; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mark of the Ninja
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 394k–640k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Creepy Tale
2020
Est. copies
≈ 74k–120k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$101k–$273k after Steam's cut $185k–$420k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerDark
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 515k–837k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person
Mark of the Ninja: Remastered
2018
Est. copies
≈ 211k–343k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthNinja
Pid
2012
Est. copies
≈ 154k–250k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$844k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle-Platformer
Oddworld: New 'n' Tasty
2015
Est. copies
≈ 179k–291k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Gunpoint
2013
Est. copies
≈ 843k–1.4M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthIndie

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