How much revenue did The Outpost Nine: Episode 1 make?

$2k–$6k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Outpost Nine: Episode 1 sell?

Q: How many copies did The Outpost Nine: Episode 1 sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 53 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut; from 53 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Outpost Nine: Episode 1 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Outpost Nine: Episode 1's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–6k

best case 31k (The Butterfly Collector)

Games like The Outpost Nine: Episode 1

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–6k copies

≈ $15k–$31k after Steam's cut

from ~124 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Butterfly Collector at ≈ 24k–39k copies, ≈ $6k–$17k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 86 reviews in their first month; the range was 65 to 106.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Gore (5 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Word Game, priced around $1. The breakout hits carry Word Game + Psychological Horror + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Dark Room 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before Steam's cut	$13.99	124 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAdventure
Hell of Sins: soul 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut	$8.99	81 reviews Mixed	Visual NovelAdventure
Cleansuit 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut	$3.99	54 reviews Very Positive	IndieViolent
Nanairo Reincarnation 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $40k–$107k after Steam's cut $73k–$165k before Steam's cut	$29.99	168 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Winter Polaris 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$14.99	97 reviews Very Positive	CasualGore
I, the Forgotten One 2023	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut	$7.99	201 reviews Very Positive	AdventurePsychological
HAPPY SAIN† SHEOL 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut	$10.99	259 reviews Very Positive	AdventureAnime
The Butterfly Collector 2025	Est. copies ≈ 24k–39k 7.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut	$0.99	962 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelWord Game