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How many copies did Nanairo Reincarnation sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$40k–$107k after Steam's cut $73k–$165k before Steam's cut
from 168 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nanairo Reincarnation and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nanairo Reincarnation's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.6M
best case 5.7M (Everlasting Summer)
Games like Nanairo Reincarnation

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.6M copies

≈ $3.8M–$12.1M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Everlasting Summer at ≈ 4.4M–7.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Story Rich.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NEKOPARA Vol. 0
2015
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeNudity
Senren*Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 923k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Everlasting Summer
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
STEINS;GATE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NEKOPARA Vol. 1
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiAnime
ATRI -My Dear Moments-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 584k–949k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$20.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 813k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tricolour Lovestory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 966k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$529k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $961k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$1.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDating Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.