How much revenue did The Witch's House MV make?

$523k–$1.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Witch's House MV sell?

Q: How many copies did The Witch's House MV sell?

127k to 206k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 127k–206k; $523k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $951k–$2.2M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Witch's House MV and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Witch's House MV's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 334k–664k

best case 2.9M (OMORI)

Games like The Witch's House MV

A typical game among these

≈ 334k–664k copies

≈ $1.1M–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Psychological Horror (6 of 8) and RPGMaker (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Multiple Endings + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Changed 2018	Est. copies ≈ 565k–919k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $776k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$4.99	19k reviews Very Positive	CuteDifficult
Tales of the Black Forest 2019	Est. copies ≈ 447k–726k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$3.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGRPGMaker
Angels of Death 2016	Est. copies ≈ 225k–366k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $619k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle Horror
Mad Father 2016	Est. copies ≈ 283k–461k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $779k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGMakerHorror
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 8.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Yume Nikki 2018	Est. copies ≈ 324k–526k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	IndieFree to Play
Confess My Love 2017	Est. copies ≈ 168k–273k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayAnime
LISA: The Painful 2014	Est. copies ≈ 851k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dark HumorRPG