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How many copies did Yaga sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–27k
$113k–$303k after Steam's cut $205k–$467k before Steam's cut
from 662 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Yaga and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Yaga's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–148k
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like Yaga

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–148k copies

≈ $113k–$3.0M after Steam's cut

from ~955 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 370 reviews in their first month; the range was 65 to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (8 of 8) and Souls-like (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Mythology + Combat + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
1270x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
Veritus
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
$6.99
153 reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGAtmospheric
Ys X: Nordics
2024
Est. copies
≈ 24k–38k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$391k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $710k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
955 reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGAction RPG
Clash: Artifacts of Chaos
2023
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$345k–$928k after Steam's cut $627k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
DRAGON QUEST TREASURES
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$111k–$298k after Steam's cut $201k–$458k before Steam's cut
$49.99
325 reviews
Mostly Positive
Party-Based RPGHidden Object
Divinia Chronicles: Relics of Gan-Ti
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
$19.99
83 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction RPG
Steelrising
2022
Est. copies
≈ 184k–300k
7.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Souls-likeAtmospheric
Eastward
2021
Est. copies
≈ 412k–670k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich

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