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How many copies did THE LONGING sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 185k–301k
$764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid THE LONGING and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including THE LONGING's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 503k–668k
best case 1.6M (Life is Strange 2)
Games like THE LONGING

A typical game among these

≈ 503k–668k copies

≈ $2.4M–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Life is Strange 2 at ≈ 1.3M–2.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 722 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (6 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Atmospheric; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Life is Strange 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Tell Me Why
2020
Est. copies
≈ 400k–650k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Life is Strange: Before the Storm
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$16.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
The Walking Dead: Michonne - A Telltale Miniseries
2016
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureZombies
House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
Her Story
2015
Est. copies
≈ 509k–827k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationTyping

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