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How big is MilMo?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 21k–34k
from 692 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MilMo and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MilMo's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 314k–2.7M
best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)
Games like MilMo

A typical game among these

≈ 314k–2.7M copies

≈ $4.1M–$7.7M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 115 to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (4 of 8) and 3D Platformer (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stumble Guys
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
139k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Supraland
2019
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
39x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
The LEGO® NINJAGO® Movie Video Game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 280k–456k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ActionLEGO
3on3 FreeStyle: Rebound
2020
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
BasketballTeam-Based
A Story About My Uncle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.2M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFirst-Person
Sonic Forces
2017
Est. copies
≈ 298k–485k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
9k reviews
Mixed
Great Soundtrack3D Platformer
*NEW* SCUFFED EPIC BHOP SIMULATOR 2023 (POG CHAMP)
2020
Est. copies
≈ 116k–189k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAction

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