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How many copies did Towaga: Among Shadows sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
from 233 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Towaga: Among Shadows and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Towaga: Among Shadows's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 140k–186k
best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)
Games like Towaga: Among Shadows

A typical game among these

≈ 140k–186k copies

≈ $1.1M–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action-Adventure (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 440 to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (3 of 8) and Platformer (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Metroidvania + Souls-like + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Grimhook
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Nine Sols
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
9.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.8M before Steam's cut
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46k reviews
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鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
44x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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225k reviews
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Beacon Pines
2022
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≈ 112k–182k
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Nobody Saves the World
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≈ 171k–278k
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SingleplayerIndie

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