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How many copies did Beacon Pines sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 112k–182k
$616k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Beacon Pines and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Beacon Pines's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–2.6M
best case 4.6M (Persona 5 Royal)
Games like Beacon Pines

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies

≈ $3.8M–$30.4M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Turn-Based Combat + JRPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Walking Dead
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.5M after Steam's cut $38.2M–$86.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
81k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesStory Rich
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 3 Reload
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric

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