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How many copies did Wintermoor Tactics Club sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–26k
$67k–$179k after Steam's cut $121k–$275k before Steam's cut
from 651 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wintermoor Tactics Club and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wintermoor Tactics Club's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 45k–47k
best case 49k (Utawarerumono: Mask of Truth)
Games like Wintermoor Tactics Club

A typical game among these

≈ 45k–47k copies

≈ $730k–$906k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Utawarerumono: Mask of Truth at ≈ 38k–61k copies, ≈ $414k–$1.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 115 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 192.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Simulation, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Utawarerumono: Mask of Truth
2020
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$414k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $752k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGStrategy
Eiyu*Senki Gold – A New Conquest
2021
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$100k–$270k after Steam's cut $183k–$416k before Steam's cut
$34.99
421 reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
Utawarerumono: Mask of Deception
2020
Est. copies
≈ 34k–56k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$378k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $687k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Mugen Souls
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$78k–$209k after Steam's cut $141k–$322k before Steam's cut
$19.99
290 reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGStrategy RPG
Sunrider 4: The Captain's Return
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$60k–$161k after Steam's cut $109k–$248k before Steam's cut
$29.99
293 reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGVisual Novel
Utawarerumono: Prelude to the Fallen
2021
Est. copies
≈ 34k–56k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$569k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Walk with the Living 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
Strategy RPGLGBTQ+
Lost Dimension
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$60k–$160k after Steam's cut $108k–$246k before Steam's cut
$24.99
252 reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGTactical RPG

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