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How many copies did Roman's Christmas / 罗曼圣诞探案集 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 37k–60k
$113k–$302k after Steam's cut $205k–$465k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Roman's Christmas / 罗曼圣诞探案集 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Roman's Christmas / 罗曼圣诞探案集's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 165k–173k
best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)
Games like Roman's Christmas / 罗曼圣诞探案集

A typical game among these

≈ 165k–173k copies

≈ $1.2M–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 716 reviews in their first month; the range was 175 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Visual Novel, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Detective + Anime + Mystery; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
8.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
Ace Attorney Investigations Collection
2024
Est. copies
≈ 121k–196k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureInvestigation
Scarlet Hollow
2021
Est. copies
≈ 132k–215k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessChoices Matter
Roadwarden
2022
Est. copies
≈ 129k–210k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$390k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $709k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$10.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RPGText-Based
Syberia: The World Before
2022
Est. copies
≈ 125k–204k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich
GNOSIA
2022
Est. copies
≈ 128k–208k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$878k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
AI: The Somnium Files
2019
Est. copies
≈ 272k–442k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Threefold Recital
2025
Est. copies
≈ 144k–234k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$593k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DramaMystery

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