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wishvane

How many copies did Nidhogg sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 443k–720k
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nidhogg and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nidhogg's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22k–42k
best case 278k (Hellish Quart)
Games like Nidhogg

A typical game among these

≈ 22k–42k copies

≈ $61k–$243k after Steam's cut

from ~679 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hellish Quart at ≈ 212k–344k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 228 reviews in their first month; the range was 29 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Swordplay (5 of 8) and Fighting (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting, priced around $19. The breakout hits carry Fighting + VR + Violent; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Griefhelm
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $39k–$88k before Steam's cut
$9.99
313 reviews
Mostly Positive
Co-op CampaignLocal Co-Op
GORN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 237k–385k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
Hellish Quart
2021
Est. copies
≈ 212k–344k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$17.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessFighting
Strikey Sisters
2017
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$91k–$244k after Steam's cut $165k–$376k before Steam's cut
$9.99
962 reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureArcade
Samurai GUNN
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30k–48k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41k–$110k after Steam's cut $74k–$169k before Steam's cut
$4.99
472 reviews
Very Positive
4 Player Local2D Fighter
Voor De Kroon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$145k–$391k after Steam's cut $264k–$602k before Steam's cut
$29.99
711 reviews
Very Positive
MedievalWar
Plunder Panic
2022
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before Steam's cut
$6.99
646 reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpIndie
Nidhogg 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$189k–$509k after Steam's cut $344k–$783k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Local MultiplayerIndie

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.