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How many copies did Here Be Dragons sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
from 154 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Here Be Dragons and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Here Be Dragons's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 664–6.3M
best case 17.5M (Sid Meier's Civilization® V)
Games like Here Be Dragons

A typical game among these

≈ 664–6.3M copies

≈ $20k–$65.7M after Steam's cut

from ~690 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier's Civilization® V at ≈ 13.3M–21.7M copies, ≈ $110.0M–$295.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 544 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Turn-Based, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sid Meier's Civilization® V
2010
Est. copies
≈ 13.3M–21.7M
306x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$110.0M–$295.6M after Steam's cut $199.9M–$454.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
211k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based StrategyStrategy
XCOM® 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.4M
159x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.6M–$103.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
IsometricTurn-Based Combat
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
128x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Rogue Waters
2024
Est. copies
≈ 33k–53k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$269k–$724k after Steam's cut $489k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
Anchor Up
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1 reviews
1 user reviews
PuzzleTurn-Based
Airship Dragoon
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before Steam's cut
$19.99
64 reviews
Mixed
Strategy4X
Pirate Code
2018
Est. copies
≈ 517–840
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$14.99
17 reviews
Positive
AdventureStrategy
Phijkchu Quest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$258–$694 after Steam's cut $469–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
19 reviews
Positive

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