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How many copies did Trap Shrine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 47k–76k
$128k–$344k after Steam's cut $232k–$529k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trap Shrine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trap Shrine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 565k–1.3M
best case 2.6M (Street Fighter™ 6)
Games like Trap Shrine

A typical game among these

≈ 565k–1.3M copies

≈ $3.1M–$16.7M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 2D Fighter (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Street Fighter™ 6 at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Fighter (2 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Fighting, priced around $40.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Genital Jousting
2018
Est. copies
≈ 343k–557k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$659k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$6.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
missed messages.
2019
Est. copies
≈ 448k–728k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Free to PlayVisual Novel
Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
Changed
2018
Est. copies
≈ 565k–919k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$776k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
CuteDifficult
House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
Hi-Fi RUSH
2023
Est. copies
≈ 893k–1.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmAction
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
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JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All-Star Battle R
2022
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction

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