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How many copies did Capsized sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 70k–113k
$192k–$515k after Steam's cut $349k–$793k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Capsized and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Capsized's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–83k
best case 102k (HARDCORE MECHA)
Games like Capsized

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–83k copies

≈ $30k–$432k after Steam's cut

from ~947 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HARDCORE MECHA at ≈ 77k–126k copies, ≈ $426k–$1.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (8 of 8) and Sci-fi (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mechs + Anime, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Very Positive
IndieProcedural Generation
Shadow Complex Remastered
2016
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MetroidvaniaAction
STAR WARS™: Bounty Hunter™
2024
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$19.99
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Third-Person ShooterAction
DeadCore
2014
Est. copies
≈ 114k–186k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$314k–$845k after Steam's cut $571k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerAction
HARDCORE MECHA
2019
Est. copies
≈ 77k–126k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$426k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $774k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Spectacular Sparky
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
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193 reviews
Very Positive
ActionPlatformer
Explosionade DX
2015
Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
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Escape From BioStation
2017
Est. copies
≈ 826–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$906–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$3.99
24 reviews
Mixed
ActionIndie

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