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How many copies did Definitely Sneaky But Not Sneaky sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
from 75 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Definitely Sneaky But Not Sneaky and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Definitely Sneaky But Not Sneaky's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–232k
best case 363k (Halo: Spartan Assault)
Games like Definitely Sneaky But Not Sneaky

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–232k copies

≈ $11k–$864k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Halo: Spartan Assault at ≈ 277k–449k copies, ≈ $227k–$611k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 34 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 73.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Top-Down (8 of 8) and Twin Stick Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Top-Down Shooter + Sci-fi, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
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Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Halo: Spartan Assault
2014
Est. copies
≈ 277k–449k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$227k–$611k after Steam's cut $413k–$941k before Steam's cut
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ActionTop-Down Shooter
Void Prison
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99 reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeBullet Hell
Splatter - Zombiecalypse Now
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Est. copies
≈ 137k–222k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$263k–$707k after Steam's cut $478k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$6.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionTop-Down Shooter
Crimsonland
2014
Est. copies
≈ 175k–285k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$674k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$13.99
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Very Positive
ActionShooter
Renegade Ops
2011
Est. copies
≈ 183k–297k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$755k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$15.00
3k reviews
Very Positive
Waves
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Est. copies
≈ 99k–161k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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Free
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Godstrike
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
$5.99
247 reviews
Mixed

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